Reading / The shelf
Books worth keeping close.
Not a reading log or an attempt to catalog everything. This is the short shelf I return to, recommend, and use to think about decisions, systems, and incentives.
Start here
Three books that shape how I think about uncertainty, forecasts, behavior, and risk.
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Daniel Kahneman
A durable framework for recognizing where intuition works, where it fails, and how judgment gets distorted.
The Signal and the Noise
Nate Silver
A practical argument for probabilistic thinking, calibration, and humility when forecasts meet reality.
The Psychology of Money
Morgan Housel
Short, clear lessons on incentives, compounding, risk, and why behavior matters more than perfect models.
The rest of the shelf
Principles: Life and Work
Ray Dalio
Useful ideas for turning repeated decisions into explicit systems that a team can examine and improve.
↗05The Intelligent Investor
Benjamin Graham
The foundational case for margin of safety, disciplined valuation, and separating price from underlying value.
↗06Zero to One
Peter Thiel with Blake Masters
A compact set of contrarian questions about differentiation, durable advantage, and creating something genuinely new.
↗07Atomic Habits
James Clear
A straightforward operating manual for making useful behavior easier and relying less on motivation.
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